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The 2026Â US Open odds are taking shape, with reigning Wimbledon champion Jannik Sinner leading the men’s field as he looks to add another major title.
His potential biggest rival, Carlos Alcaraz, has withdrawn from the Cincinnati Open, signaling that he might not be recovered from his wrist injury in time for the US Open.
On the women’s side, Aryna Sabalenka enters as the betting favorite, aiming to capture her third consecutive US Open crown and further cement her dominance on hard courts.
Here are the latest US Open tennis odds, with New York’s USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center set to host from August 23 to September 13.
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2026 US Open men’s singles odds
| Name | Probabillity |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 57% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 12% |
| Alexander Zverev | 9% |
| Novak Djokovic | 5% |
| Taylor Fritz | 3% |
| Ben Shelton | 3% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2% |
| Joao Fonseca | 2% |
| Rafael Jodar | 2% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 2% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
US Open men’s singles betting favorites and analysis
World No. 1 Jannik Sinner is the overwhelming favorite to raise his second career US Open title. He is 55-5 across the previous 52 weeks on the cement and has won his past three Masters 1000 hardcourt events, including both legs of the Sunshine Double (Indian Wells, Miami).
Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz is still the second favorite despite missing a scheduled appearance in Cincinnati. That would explain why he plummeted from 27% to 12% overnight.
He’s followed by French Open champion Alexander Zverev, and four-time US Open champion Novak Djokovic.
2026 US Open women’s singles odds
| Name | Probabillity |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 26% |
| Coco Gauff | 17% |
| Iga Swiatek | 11% |
| Elena Rybakina | 10% |
| Mirra Andreeva | 8% |
| Alexandra Eala | 7% |
| Naomi Osaka | 6% |
| Jessica Pegula | 5% |
| Marta Kostyuk | 5% |
| Iva Jovic | 4% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
US Open women’s singles betting favorites and analysis
Two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka is the favorite at Kalshi. Like Sinner, she won both legs of the Sunshine Double and is 39-4 on the hard courts over the last year.Â
2022 US Open champion Iga Swiatek is the fourth favorite, with 2023 champion Coco Gauff, World No. 2 Elena Rybakina, and Alexandra Eala rounding out the Top 5 over at Kalshi.Â
Previous US Open singles champions
Here are the US Open singles champions for the last 10 years.
| Year | Men’s Champion | Women’s Champion |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2024 | Jannik Sinner | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2023 | Novak Djokovic | Coco Gauff |
| 2022 | Carlos Alcaraz | Iga Swiatek |
| 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | Emma Raducanu |
| 2020 | Dominic Thiem | Naomi Osaka |
| 2019 | Rafael Nadal | Bianca Andreescu |
| 2018 | Novak Djokovic | Naomi Osaka |
| 2017 | Rafael Nadal | Sloane Stephens |
| 2016 | Stan Wawrinka | Angelique Kerber |
US Open trends
- The last non-European player to win the Menâs Singles title was Juan Martin del Potro in 2009.
- Roger Federer is the only player to repeat as Menâs Singles champion since 2000, winning five consecutive titles (2004-08).
Popular tennis futures markets
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