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The 2026 US Open odds are shifting following the news that Carlos Alcaraz is back and ready to make his first appearance since April following a wrist injury.
Jannik Sinner remains favored in the men’s odds, but the gap has shrunk. Meanwhile, Aryna Sabalenka is pacing National Bank Open winner Iga Swiatek on the women’s side.
Here are the latest US Open tennis odds, with New York’s USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center set to host from Aug. 23 to Sept. 13.
2026 US Open men’s singles odds
| Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 35% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 29% |
| Alexander Zverev | 14% |
| Novak Djokovic | 7% |
| Ben Shelton | 7% |
| Rafael Jodar | 4% |
| Jakub Mensik | 2% |
| Taylor Fritz | 2% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2% |
| Arthur Fils | 2% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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US Open men’s singles betting favorites and analysis
Despite withdrawing from the Cincinnati Open, World No. 1 Jannik Sinner remains the favorite to win his second career U.S. Open title.
However, Carlos Alcaraz shot up from 19% to 29% following his social media announcement that he will play in the U.S. Open, his first action since April. Sinner’s cushion shrunk from 11 points to six in an instant.
French Open champion Alexander Zverev and four-time U.S. Open champion Novak Djokovic round out the Top 4.
2026 US Open women’s singles odds
| Name | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 27% |
| Iga Swiatek | 14% |
| Elena Rybakina | 11% |
| Coco Gauff | 9% |
| Naomi Osaka | 9% |
| Mirra Andreeva | 8% |
| Jessica Pegula | 6% |
| Amanda Anisimova | 6% |
| Marta Kostyuk | 4% |
| Alexandra Eala | 4% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
US Open women’s singles betting favorites and analysis
Iga Swiatek is making a major move at Kalshi after winning the National Bank Open, surging into the second spot on the US Open odds board.
The 2022 US Open champion defeated Elena Rybakina in straight sets in Montreal and enters the final weeks before the tournament as Aryna Sabalenka’s biggest challenger.
Two-time defending champion Sabalenka remains the favorite at Kalshi. Like Sinner, she won both legs of the Sunshine Double and is 39-4 on hard courts over the last year.
Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina, and Naomi Osaka round out the Top 5 at Kalshi.
Previous US Open singles champions
Here are the US Open singles champions for the last 10 years.
| Year | Men’s Champion | Women’s Champion |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2024 | Jannik Sinner | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2023 | Novak Djokovic | Coco Gauff |
| 2022 | Carlos Alcaraz | Iga Swiatek |
| 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | Emma Raducanu |
| 2020 | Dominic Thiem | Naomi Osaka |
| 2019 | Rafael Nadal | Bianca Andreescu |
| 2018 | Novak Djokovic | Naomi Osaka |
| 2017 | Rafael Nadal | Sloane Stephens |
| 2016 | Stan Wawrinka | Angelique Kerber |
US Open trends
- The last non-European player to win the Menâs Singles title was Juan Martin del Potro in 2009.
- Roger Federer is the only player to repeat as Menâs Singles champion since 2000, winning five consecutive titles (2004-08).
Popular tennis futures markets
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