Tennis Picks Today: 5 Best Bets & Predictions Ft. Tommy Paul Vs Alex De Minaur, Learner Tien Vs Alexander Bublik | May 22, 2026

Today’s tennis action has in store a series of semifinal clashes, starting with America’s Tommy Paul, who is locked and loaded for his battle against Australia’s Alex De Minaur at the Hamburg Open, while Learner Tien is all set to go up against Alexander Bublik at the Geneva Open. At the Internationaux de Strasbourg, Canada’s Victoria Mboko will face Romania’s Jaqueline Cristian.

Continuing with Geneva is the next semifinal bout, which features Norway’s Casper Ruud and Argentina’s Mariano Navone, while an all-American clash is also scheduled between Emma Navarro and Ann Li at Strasbourg.

Here are our top best picks of the day, with a brief analysis on which player will rise to the occasion.

Top Tennis Picks and Best Bets

Tommy Paul vs. Alex De Minaur (Paul +110)

At the Hamburg Open, Tommy Paul will face Alex de Minaur in their seventh meeting, with Minaur leading their head-to-head 5-1. Paul advanced to the semifinals after beating Daniel Altmaier 6-2, 7-5, while De Minaur beat Luciano Darderi 6-0, 6-3. Both players have beaten each other on clay once previously.

While Paul has achieved a title on clay in Houston this year, De Minaur is yet to bag a trophy on the red surface. Both are known for their counter-attacking skills, and while De Minaur capitalizes on his exceptional footwork, Paul has a potent loose forehand that lets him swing the wall way behind the opponent’s baseline. If Tommy Paul can contain De Minaur’s insane speed, he can leverage his explosive style and win in 2.

Learner Tien vs. Alexander Bublik (Bublik -155)

Scheduled in Geneva is the second clash between Learner Tien and Alexander Bublik after Tien beat the Kazakh star on clay in their first meeting. Tien defeated Alex Michelsen in the quarterfinals 6-4, 3-6, 6-1, and Bublik beat Arthur Rinderknech 7-5, 6-4, 6-2 to reach the final four this week.

Tien relies on his heavy topspin, while Bublik is considered a chaotic player. He relies on unpredictable games, and if he can tie Tien’s left-handed shots with his lethal first serve, he can wear out the American and win in straight sets.

Victoria Mboko vs. Jaqueline Cristian (Mboko -295)

In Strasbourg, Victoria Mboko will face Jaqueline Cristian for the first time ever. While Mboko beat Leylah Fernandez 6-4, 6-4 in an all-Canadian clash, Cristian defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-6(3), 6-3, 2-6 in the quarterfinals.

Mboko relies on her aggressive game plan that shows right from the start of the bout, while Cristian comes in with years of clay experience, which she uses to wear down her opponents with extended rallies and through her defensive game plays. If Mboko uses her raw power with good consistency, she can take the match in 3 sets.

Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone (Ruud -425)

The next semifinal clash is set between Casper Ruud and Mariano Navone, who will clash for the second time, as Ruud leads their head-to-head with 1-0. Ruud beat Alexei Popyrin 6-4, 6-3, while Navone emerged victorious against Jaume Munar 6-2, 6-2 in the quarterfinals. While Navone plays his first semifinal in Switzerland, Ruud has already won the Geneva title thrice.

Navone is known for sliding effortlessly on clay, but Ruud plays a very disciplined game on the red surface, and if he manages to counter Navone’s relentless defenses with his forehand, he can easily secure his spot in the final with a straight-set win.

Emma Navarro vs. Ann Li (Navarro +115)

The All-American clash between Emma Navarro and Ann Li is set for the second time after Navarro beat Li in their previous bout. Navarro has advanced to the Strasbourg semifinals after beating Zhang Shuai in a tightly contested battle 6-2, 6-7, 6-2, while Li defeated Marie Bouzková 6-3, 7-5.

While Li is known for her first-strike plays, Navarro relies on her exceptional footwork and the ability to extend rallies while being in control with her spinning forehand. With her latest comeback wins, Navarro is expected to wear out Li in the early stages of the match and advance with a 3-set win.

All bets and wagers sourced from BetMGM

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