Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for Hamburg Open 2026

Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul will battle it out in the semifinals of the Hamburg Open on Friday. Both players have found some form on the eve of the French Open. The Australian claimed a dominant win over Luciano Darderi in the last round, while the American saw off home favorite Daniel Altmaier to secure his spot in the final four.

Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul Match Details

Date: May 22, 2026

Tournament: Hamburg Open 2026

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Am Rothenbaum, Hamburg, Germany

Surface: Outdoor Clay

Category: ATP 500

Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN

de Minaur vs Paul Head-to-Head Record

This will be the seventh meeting between these two players, and it is de Minaur who holds the head-to-head lead. He has won 5 of their 6 matches, but Paul claimed the win in straight sets when they last met at the Italian Open last year.

Paul is enjoying a decent 2026 with a 23-9 win-loss record going into this match. The 29-year-old also lifted his first title on clay at the U.S. Men’s Clay Court Championships last month.

Seeded sixth in Hamburg, Paul enjoyed a dominant win over Ethan Quinn in the first round. He then saw off clay-court specialist Tomás Martín Etcheverry in a tight match that featured three tie-breaks.

In the quarterfinals, Paul claimed a 6-2, 7-5 win over Altmaier to improve his record on clay this year to 8-2.

The clay-court swing has been a frustrating one so far for de Minaur, who went on a 3-4 run before arriving in Hamburg. But he appears to be finding his form ahead of the French Open.

The third seed needed three sets to overcome Francisco Cerúndolo and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and then breezed past the in-form Darderi to secure his place in the semifinals.

de Minaur vs Paul Prediction and Pick

Paul has a superior clay-court record and has already won a title on red dirt this year. That will give him some confidence going into this semifinal, even if he has struggled against de Minaur over the years.

After a strong start to the season, de Minaur hit a rough patch. However, his form appears to be trending upward going into the French Open, a good sign for the world No. 9. Clay is by no means his favorite surface, but defeating Darderi in dominant fashion will have given him immense confidence.

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This could be a tight match that could go down to the wire. Both players have found some form in Hamburg, but we believe that Paul’s superior clay-court record and defensive skills will help him come out on top.

Pick – Paul in three sets.